Your Kentucky Derby pick is likely wrong. Why each horse can, can’t win Run for the Roses

YourKentuckyDerbypickislikelywrong.Whyeachhorsecan,can’twinRunfortheRosesWho’syourKentuckyDerbyhorse? WhetheryoulikethefavoriteJournalismoralongshotsuchasFlyingMohawkorRenderJudgment,everyonehasanopinionontheRunfortheRosessetforMay3atChurchillDowns. Withthatinmind,TheCourierJournaloffersitsannualbreakdownofwhyeachhorsecanandcan’twintheKentuckyDerby—manyserious,afewtongueincheek,onedestinedtoberight. Clickonahorse’snametolearnmore: Whyhecanwin:ThrowouthisSantaAnitaDerby—trainerBobBaffertsaidthehorsewasn’tinthebestshape—andCitizenBullwouldbeamongthefavorites.He’llbeforcedtotryfortheleadearly,whichmaybehisbestchance. Whyhecan’twin:He’sinthedreadedNo.1post,whichhasn’tproducedaDerbywinnersinceFerdinandin1986.Thelast2-year-oldchamptowintheDerbywasNyquist(2016). Whyhecanwin:Neverworsethanthirdinhislastsixstarts,thishorsealwaysisinthemixandfigurestobeneartheleadearly. Whyhecan’tw